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Seattle vs. Dallas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Seattle vs. Dallas at the MLS on November 4, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Seattle
1
3
Nov 5, 1AM Toyota Stadium (Frisco, Texas)
Dallas
Nov 5, 1AM Toyota Stadium (Frisco, Texas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
DallasFCD
Score Summary
SeattleSEA
P. Arriola (6')
Soccer ball icon
J. Ferreira (pen.) (18')
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J. Obrian (89')
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J. Morris (48')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
FCD
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
SEA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: D. Sealy replaces P. Arriola
89'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Dallas by J. Obrian
1-3
84'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: E. Ansah replaces J. Ferreira
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Seattle Sounders: K. Rowe replaces Nouhou
83'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: J. Obrian replaces P. Pomykal
73'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: M. Farfan replaces B. Kamungo
71'
Yellow Card
A. Illarramendi (FC Dallas) cautioned
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Seattle Sounders: R. Ruidiaz replaces J. Atencio
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Seattle Sounders: O. Vargas replaces Joao Paulo
60'
Yellow Card
P. Pomykal (FC Dallas) cautioned
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Seattle Sounders: N. Lodeiro replaces L. Chu
52'
Yellow Card
J. Atencio (Seattle Sounders) cautioned
48'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Seattle Sounders by J. Morris
1-2
30'
Yellow Card
P. Arriola (FC Dallas) cautioned
21'
Yellow Card
Y. Gomez Andrade (Seattle Sounders) cautioned
18'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Dallas by J. Ferreira (pen.)
0-2
10'
Yellow Card
Nouhou (Seattle Sounders) cautioned
6'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Dallas by P. Arriola
0-1

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Seattle vs. Dallas: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Seattle vs. Dallas prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Seattle vs. Dallas
  • Date: Saturday, November 4, 2023
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Toyota Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Seattle +190, Dallas +140, draw +230
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+142/-125)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Seattle: 29.5%
  • Dallas: 40.7%
  • Draw: 29.8%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Seattle 0-1 Dallas, with a probability of 14%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Seattle is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 29.5% probability, while Dallas sits at 40.7%, with the draw at 29.8%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Seattle vs. Dallas prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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