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Chicago vs. NY City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Chicago vs. NY City at the MLS on October 21, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Chicago
0
1
Oct 21, 10PM Citi Field (New York, New York)
NY City
Oct 21, 10PM Citi Field (New York, New York)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NY CityNYC
Score Summary
ChicagoCHI
J. Fernandez (64')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NYC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
CHI
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
A. Perea (New York City) cautioned
89'
Yellow Card
K. O'Toole (New York City) cautioned
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Navarro replaces D. Aceves
84'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: A. Jasson replaces J. Fernandez
78'
Yellow Card
S. Rodriguez (New York City) cautioned
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Pineda replaces F. Navarro
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: K. Przybylko replaces O. Doumbia
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Haile-Selassie replaces F. Herbers
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: K. Kamara replaces G. Koutsias
64'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York City by J. Fernandez, assisted by S. Rodriguez
0-1
60'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: M. Ilenic replaces T. Gray
60'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: A. Perea replaces K. Parks

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Chicago vs. NY City: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Chicago vs. NY City prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Chicago vs. NY City
  • Date: Saturday, October 21, 2023
  • Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Citi Field
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Chicago +380, NY City -145, draw +295
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-132/+108)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Chicago: 18.9%
  • NY City: 57.5%
  • Draw: 23.6%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Chicago 0-1 NY City, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Chicago is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 18.9% probability, while NY City sits at 57.5%, with the draw at 23.6%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Chicago vs. NY City prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, see our responsible gambling resources.

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