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Philadelphia vs. New England Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Philadelphia vs. New England at the MLS on October 21, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Philadelphia
1
2
Oct 21, 10PM Gillette Stadium (Foxborough, Massachusetts)
New England
Oct 21, 10PM Gillette Stadium (Foxborough, Massachusetts)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
New EnglandNE
Score Summary
PhiladelphiaPHI
G. Bou (pen.) (25')
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G. Bou (42')
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J. Carranza (16')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NE
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
PHI
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: J. Rennicks replaces G. Bou
90'
Yellow Card
J. Carranza (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: L. Flach replaces J. McGlynn
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Bueno replaces M. Uhre
42'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New England Revolution by G. Bou, assisted by C. Gil
1-2
25'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New England Revolution by G. Bou (pen.)
1-1
24'
Yellow Card
K. Wagner (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
24'
Yellow Card
D. Lowe (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
16'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by J. Carranza, assisted by M. Uhre
1-0
7'
Yellow Card
N. Harriel (Philadelphia Union) cautioned

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Philadelphia vs. New England: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Philadelphia vs. New England prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Philadelphia vs. New England
  • Date: Saturday, October 21, 2023
  • Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Gillette Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia +240, New England -105, draw +300

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Philadelphia: 33.3%
  • New England: 43.4%
  • Draw: 23.3%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Philadelphia 1-1 New England, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Philadelphia is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 33.3% probability, while New England sits at 43.4%, with the draw at 23.3%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Philadelphia vs. New England prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, see our responsible gambling resources.

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