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Atlanta vs. Cincinnati Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Atlanta vs. Cincinnati at the MLS on October 21, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Atlanta
2
:
2
Oct 21, 10PM TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, Ohio)
Cincinnati
Oct 21, 10PM TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, Ohio)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
CincinnatiCIN
Score Summary
AtlantaATL
D. Badji (25')
Soccer ball icon
L. Acosta (45')
Soccer ball icon
G. Giakoumakis (12')
Soccer ball icon
G. Giakoumakis (32')
Soccer ball icon
T. Almada (51')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CIN
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
ATL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: B. Lennon replaces C. Wiley
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: J. Sanchez replaces T. Muyumba
90'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: M. Pinto replaces I. Murphy
90'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: N. Hagglund replaces M. Miazga
85'
Yellow Card
J. Thiare (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: J. Thiare replaces G. Giakoumakis
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: A. Fortune replaces X. Silva
73'
Yellow Card
M. Miazga (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
71'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: S. Santos replaces D. Badji
71'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: B. Halsey replaces A. Powell
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: E. Mosquera replaces S. Lobjanidze
51'
Red Card
T. Almada (Atlanta Utd) sent off for a second yellow card
46'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: Y. Kubo replaces J. Moreno
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by L. Acosta
2-2
36'
Yellow Card
T. Almada (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
32'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by G. Giakoumakis, assisted by T. Almada
2-1
25'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by D. Badji
1-1
12'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by G. Giakoumakis
1-0

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Atlanta vs. Cincinnati: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Atlanta vs. Cincinnati prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Atlanta vs. Cincinnati
  • Date: Saturday, October 21, 2023
  • Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • Venue: TQL Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atlanta +320, Cincinnati -136, draw +320

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Atlanta: 23.3%
  • Cincinnati: 56.5%
  • Draw: 20.2%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Atlanta 1-2 Cincinnati, with a probability of 9%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Atlanta is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 23.3% probability, while Cincinnati sits at 56.5%, with the draw at 20.2%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Atlanta vs. Cincinnati prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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