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Miami vs. Chicago Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Miami vs. Chicago at the MLS on October 4, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Miami
1
4
Oct 5, 12:30AM Soldier Field (Chicago, Illinois)
Chicago
Oct 5, 12:30AM Soldier Field (Chicago, Illinois)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ChicagoCHI
Score Summary
MiamiMIA
X. Shaqiri (49')
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M. Haile-Selassie (62')
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M. Haile-Selassie (66')
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X. Shaqiri (73')
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J. Martinez (pen.) (53')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CHI
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
MIA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
F. Farias (Inter Miami) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: C. Teran replaces F. Herbers
73'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by X. Shaqiri, assisted by G. Gimenez
1-4
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: K. Przybylko replaces G. Koutsias
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: N. Stefanelli replaces R. Taylor
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: Jean Mota replaces D. Arroyo
66'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by M. Haile-Selassie, assisted by O. Doumbia
1-3
62'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by M. Haile-Selassie, assisted by F. Herbers
1-2
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Haile-Selassie replaces B. Gutierrez
53'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by J. Martinez (pen.)
1-1
52'
Yellow Card
J. Dean (Chicago Fire) cautioned
49'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by X. Shaqiri, assisted by F. Herbers
0-1
42'
Yellow Card
S. Busquets (Inter Miami) cautioned

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Miami vs. Chicago: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Miami vs. Chicago prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Miami vs. Chicago
  • Date: Wednesday, October 4, 2023
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Soldier Field
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Miami +230, Chicago +115, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-154/+128)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Miami: 30.4%
  • Chicago: 45.1%
  • Draw: 24.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Miami 1-1 Chicago, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Miami is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 30.4% probability, while Chicago sits at 45.1%, with the draw at 24.5%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Miami vs. Chicago prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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