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Houston vs. Sporting KC Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Houston vs. Sporting KC at the MLS on September 23, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Sep 24, 12:30AM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
Sep 24, 12:30AM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
J. Russell (pen.) (7')
J. Russell (39')
W. Agada (45')
T. Hadebe (45')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
D. Salloi (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
D. Rosero (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: F. Gutierrez replaces E. Thommy
L. A. Caicedo M. (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: I. Franco replaces H. Herrera
G. Dorsey (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
E. Thommy (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: G. Dorsey replaces A. Ibrahim
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: R. Espinoza replaces N. Radoja
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: D. Salloi replaces G. Kinda
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: Artur replaces S. Kowalczyk
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: C. Baird replaces N. Quinones
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: Micael replaces T. Hadebe
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: R. Walter replaces W. Agada
F. Escobar (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by W. Agada, assisted by E. Thommy
0-2
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by T. Hadebe, assisted by E. Bartlow
1-2
J. Russell (Sporting Kansas City) sent off with a straight red card
N. Radoja (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by J. Russell (pen.)
0-1
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Houston vs. Sporting KC: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Houston vs. Sporting KC prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Houston vs. Sporting KC
- Date: Saturday, September 23, 2023
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Children's Mercy Park
- Tournament: MLS
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Houston +240, Sporting KC +120, draw +250
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-110/-110)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Houston: 28.1%
- Sporting KC: 46.5%
- Draw: 25.3%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Houston 1-1 Sporting KC, with a probability of 12%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Houston is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 28.1% probability, while Sporting KC sits at 46.5%, with the draw at 25.3%.
For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Houston vs. Sporting KC prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.
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