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Toronto vs. NY City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Toronto vs. NY City at the MLS on September 24, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Toronto
0
3
Sep 24, 5PM Red Bull Arena (Harrison, New Jersey)
NY City
Sep 24, 5PM Red Bull Arena (Harrison, New Jersey)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NY CityNYC
Score Summary
TorontoTOR
A. Perea (2')
Soccer ball icon
A. Jasson (45')
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J. Fernandez (56')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NYC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
TOR
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
J. Fernandez (New York City) cautioned
84'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: J. Haak replaces A. Perea
84'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: A. Martinez replaces A. Jasson
75'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: M. Pellegrini replaces S. Rodriguez
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: P. Owusu replaces C. Sapong
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: A. Mabika replaces S. Rosted
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: J. Marshall-Rutty replaces D. Kerr
56'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York City by J. Fernandez, assisted by Talles Magno
0-3
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: T. Antonoglou replaces R. Petretta
46'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: J. Fernandez replaces M. Bakrar
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York City by A. Jasson, assisted by S. Rodriguez
0-2
31'
Penalty missed by M. Bakrar for New York City
30'
Yellow Card
S. O'Neill (Toronto FC) cautioned
2'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York City by A. Perea, assisted by S. Rodriguez
0-1

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Toronto vs. NY City: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Toronto vs. NY City prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Toronto vs. NY City
  • Date: Sunday, September 24, 2023
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Red Bull Arena
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Toronto +650, NY City -235, draw +390
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-175/+138)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Toronto: 15.0%
  • NY City: 63.7%
  • Draw: 21.3%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Toronto 0-1 NY City, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Toronto is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 15.0% probability, while NY City sits at 63.7%, with the draw at 21.3%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Toronto vs. NY City prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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