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Montreal vs. Atlanta Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Montreal vs. Atlanta at the MLS on September 23, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Montreal
1
4
Sep 23, 11:30PM Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, Georgia)
Atlanta
Sep 23, 11:30PM Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, Georgia)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AtlantaATL
Score Summary
MontrealMTL
X. Silva (30')
Soccer ball icon
T. Almada (33')
Soccer ball icon
G. Giakoumakis (46')
Soccer ball icon
E. Mosquera (89')
Soccer ball icon
A. Hamdi (40')
Soccer ball icon
J. Waterman (87')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ATL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
MTL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: A. Sejdic replaces M. Rossetto
90'
Yellow Card
E. Mosquera (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
89'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by E. Mosquera, assisted by T. Almada
1-4
87'
Red Card
J. Waterman (CF Montreal) sent off with a straight red card
85'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: B. Duke replaces L. Lappalainen
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: T. Wolff replaces X. Silva
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: J. Thiare replaces G. Giakoumakis
79'
Yellow Card
M. Choiniere (CF Montreal) cautioned
75'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: A. Lassiter replaces Z. Brault-Guillard
75'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: I. Sunusi replaces A. Hamdi
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: A. Fortune replaces T. Muyumba
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: E. Mosquera replaces S. Lobjanidze
66'
Yellow Card
J. Waterman (CF Montreal) cautioned
65'
Yellow Card
M. Robinson (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
59'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: N. Saliba replaces S. Piette
46'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: F. Alvarez replaces G. Campbell
46'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by G. Giakoumakis
1-3
40'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for CF Montreal by A. Hamdi, assisted by L. Lappalainen
1-2
33'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by T. Almada, assisted by X. Silva
0-2
30'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by X. Silva, assisted by S. Lobjanidze
0-1

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Montreal vs. Atlanta: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Montreal vs. Atlanta prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Montreal vs. Atlanta
  • Date: Saturday, September 23, 2023
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Montreal +540, Atlanta -165, draw +390
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-190/+130)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Montreal: 16.7%
  • Atlanta: 63.9%
  • Draw: 19.4%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Montreal 1-2 Atlanta, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Montreal is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 16.7% probability, while Atlanta sits at 63.9%, with the draw at 19.4%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Montreal vs. Atlanta prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, see our responsible gambling resources.

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