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St Louis City vs. Houston Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for St Louis City vs. Houston at the MLS on September 16, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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St Louis City
1
:
1
Sep 17, 12:30AM Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, Texas)
Houston
Sep 17, 12:30AM Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, Texas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
HoustonHOU
Score Summary
St Louis CitySTL
C. Baird (42')
Soccer ball icon
Joao Klauss (87')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
HOU
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
STL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
T. Parker (St. Louis City) cautioned
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: S. Kowalczyk replaces A. Carrasquilla
87'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for St. Louis City by Joao Klauss
1-1
82'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: J. Yaro replaces J. Nilsson
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: A. Ibrahim replaces C. Baird
80'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: T. Ostrak replaces C. Pompeu
80'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: I. Vassilev replaces A. Markanich
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: B. Smith replaces N. Quinones
61'
Yellow Card
A. Carrasquilla (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
60'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: N. Thorisson replaces A. Jackson
60'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: N. Gioacchini replaces J. Stroud
42'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by C. Baird
0-1
34'
Yellow Card
N. Blom (St. Louis City) cautioned
25'
Yellow Card
H. Herrera (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
22'
Yellow Card
F. Escobar (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
8'
Yellow Card
E. Sviatchenko (Houston Dynamo) cautioned

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St Louis City vs. Houston: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' St Louis City vs. Houston prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: St Louis City vs. Houston
  • Date: Saturday, September 16, 2023
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Shell Energy Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: St Louis City +390, Houston -143, draw +320
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+138)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • St Louis City: 23.9%
  • Houston: 52.7%
  • Draw: 23.4%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is St Louis City 1-1 Houston, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

St Louis City is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 23.9% probability, while Houston sits at 52.7%, with the draw at 23.4%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' St Louis City vs. Houston prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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