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Miami vs. Atlanta Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Miami vs. Atlanta at the MLS on September 16, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Miami
2
5
Sep 16, 9PM Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, Georgia)
Atlanta
Sep 16, 9PM Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, Georgia)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AtlantaATL
Score Summary
MiamiMIA
T. Muyumba (36')
Soccer ball icon
K. Miller (o.g.) (41')
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B. Lennon (44')
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G. Giakoumakis (76')
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T. Wolff (89')
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L. Campana (25')
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L. Campana (pen.) (53')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ATL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
MIA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by T. Wolff, assisted by S. Lobjanidze
2-5
86'
Yellow Card
N. Stefanelli (Inter Miami) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: S. Kryvtsov replaces T. Aviles
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: J. Martinez replaces L. Campana
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: A. Fortune replaces M. Rossetto
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: T. Wolff replaces X. Silva
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: M. Berry replaces G. Giakoumakis
76'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by G. Giakoumakis, assisted by S. Lobjanidze
2-4
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: S. Lobjanidze replaces E. Mosquera
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: R. Robinson replaces B. Cremaschi
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: N. Stefanelli replaces R. Taylor
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: D. Ruiz replaces D. Arroyo
57'
Yellow Card
F. Farias (Inter Miami) cautioned
53'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Campana (pen.)
2-3
52'
Yellow Card
L. Abram (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
52'
Yellow Card
(Atlanta Utd) cautioned
44'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by B. Lennon, assisted by C. Wiley
1-3
41'
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Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by K. Miller (o.g.)
1-2
36'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by T. Muyumba, assisted by B. Lennon
1-1
29'
Yellow Card
T. Muyumba (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
25'
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Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Campana
1-0

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Miami vs. Atlanta: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Miami vs. Atlanta prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Miami vs. Atlanta
  • Date: Saturday, September 16, 2023
  • Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Miami +290, Atlanta -120, draw +335

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Miami: 26.5%
  • Atlanta: 51.5%
  • Draw: 21.9%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Miami 1-1 Atlanta, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Miami is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 26.5% probability, while Atlanta sits at 51.5%, with the draw at 21.9%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Miami vs. Atlanta prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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