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NY Red Bulls vs. Philadelphia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for NY Red Bulls vs. Philadelphia at the MLS on September 3, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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NY Red Bulls
1
4
Sep 3, 11:30PM Subaru Park (Chester, Pennsylvania)
Philadelphia
Sep 3, 11:30PM Subaru Park (Chester, Pennsylvania)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
PhiladelphiaPHI
Score Summary
NY Red BullsNY
J. Glesnes (29')
Soccer ball icon
D. Lowe (57')
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J. Carranza (59')
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D. Gazdag (76')
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O. Fernandez (11')
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S. Nealis (44')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
PHI
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
NY
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
85'
Yellow Card
T. Baribo (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: Q. Sullivan replaces J. Carranza
80'
Yellow Card
A. Bedoya (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Rafanello replaces D. Gazdag
77'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: J. Cabezas replaces T. Barlow
76'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by D. Gazdag, assisted by K. Wagner
1-4
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: T. Baribo replaces M. Uhre
70'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: H. Ndam replaces A. Reyes
70'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: P. Stroud replaces O. Fernandez
59'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by J. Carranza, assisted by K. Wagner
1-3
57'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by D. Lowe, assisted by K. Wagner
1-2
46'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: K. Duncan replaces Elias Manoel
44'
Red Card
S. Nealis (New York Red Bulls) sent off for a second yellow card
37'
Yellow Card
D. Lowe (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
29'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by J. Glesnes
1-1
24'
Yellow Card
A. Reyes (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
11'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by O. Fernandez
1-0
6'
Yellow Card
S. Nealis (New York Red Bulls) cautioned

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NY Red Bulls vs. Philadelphia: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' NY Red Bulls vs. Philadelphia prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: NY Red Bulls vs. Philadelphia
  • Date: Sunday, September 3, 2023
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Subaru Park
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: NY Red Bulls +300, Philadelphia -107, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-106/-115)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • NY Red Bulls: 19.2%
  • Philadelphia: 56.7%
  • Draw: 24.1%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is NY Red Bulls 0-1 Philadelphia, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

NY Red Bulls is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 19.2% probability, while Philadelphia sits at 56.7%, with the draw at 24.1%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' NY Red Bulls vs. Philadelphia prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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