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Dallas vs. St Louis City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Dallas vs. St Louis City at the MLS on August 30, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Dallas
1
2
Aug 31, 12:30AM CITYPARK (St. Louis, Missouri)
St Louis City
Aug 31, 12:30AM CITYPARK (St. Louis, Missouri)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
St Louis CitySTL
Score Summary
DallasFCD
A. Markanich (82')
Soccer ball icon
N. Thorisson (85')
Soccer ball icon
M. Paes (12')
Red Card icon
E. Ansah (90')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
STL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
FCD
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
I. Vassilev (St. Louis City) cautioned
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Dallas by E. Ansah
1-2
85'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for St. Louis City by N. Thorisson, assisted by E. Lowen
0-2
82'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for St. Louis City by A. Markanich
0-1
81'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: J. Martinez replaces M. Farfan
81'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: L. Fraser replaces P. Pomykal
80'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: T. Ostrak replaces A. Jackson
75'
Yellow Card
F. Quignon (FC Dallas) cautioned
71'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: Joao Klauss replaces A. Watts
67'
Yellow Card
A. Illarramendi (FC Dallas) cautioned
61'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: A. Illarramendi replaces S. Lletget
61'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: E. Ansah replaces J. Obrian
60'
Yellow Card
M. Farfan (FC Dallas) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: A. Markanich replaces K. Hiebert
46'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: N. Thorisson replaces S. Adeniran
46'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: I. Vassilev replaces J. Stroud
46'
Yellow Card
J. Obrian (FC Dallas) cautioned
44'
Yellow Card
J. Stroud (St. Louis City) cautioned
18'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: J. Maurer replaces J. Jimenez
12'
Red Card
M. Paes (FC Dallas) sent off with a straight red card

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Dallas vs. St Louis City: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Dallas vs. St Louis City prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Dallas vs. St Louis City
  • Date: Wednesday, August 30, 2023
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: CITYPARK
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Dallas +325, St Louis City -110, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-104/-106)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Dallas: 22.4%
  • St Louis City: 52.9%
  • Draw: 24.7%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Dallas 0-1 St Louis City, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Dallas is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 22.4% probability, while St Louis City sits at 52.9%, with the draw at 24.7%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Dallas vs. St Louis City prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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