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Cruz Azul vs. Guadalajara Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Cruz Azul vs. Guadalajara at the Liga MX on November 4, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
Cruz Azul
0
1
Nov 5, 3:05AM Estadio AKRON (Zapopan)
Guadalajara
Nov 5, 3:05AM Estadio AKRON (Zapopan)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
GuadalajaraGCH
Score Summary
Cruz AzulCRA
J. Padilla (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
GCH
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
CRA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Briseno replaces I. Brizuela
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: P. Perez replaces F. Beltran
90'
Yellow Card
W. Ditta (Cruz Azul) cautioned
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by J. Padilla, assisted by V. Guzman
0-1
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: C. Rotondi replaces R. Huescas
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: D. Cambindo replaces K. D. Castano Gil
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Torres replaces F. Gonzalez
68'
Yellow Card
A. Sepulveda (Cruz Azul) cautioned
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: J. Padilla replaces R. Cisneros
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: Moises replaces A. H. Gutierrez Torres
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: V. Guzman replaces E. Gutierrez
41'
Yellow Card
K. D. Castano Gil (Cruz Azul) cautioned
39'
Yellow Card
E. Gutierrez (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned

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Cruz Azul vs. Guadalajara: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Cruz Azul vs. Guadalajara prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Cruz Azul vs. Guadalajara
  • Date: Saturday, November 4, 2023
  • Time: 11:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio AKRON
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Cruz Azul +200, Guadalajara +140, draw +235
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-110/-118)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Cruz Azul: 25.5%
  • Guadalajara: 49.7%
  • Draw: 24.8%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Cruz Azul 1-1 Guadalajara, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 25.5% probability, while Guadalajara sits at 49.7%, with the draw at 24.8%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Cruz Azul vs. Guadalajara prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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