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San Luis vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for San Luis vs. Toluca at the Liga MX on October 29, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
FINAL
LIGA MX
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Oct 29, 6PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Oct 29, 6PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
A. Villegas (18')
J. Angulo (69')
J. Angulo (90')
Rodrigo Dourado (45')
A. Zaldivar (83')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Angulo
1-3
J. Venegas (Toluca) cautioned
I. Violante (Toluca) cautioned
Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by A. Zaldivar
1-2
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: A. Zaldivar replaces Vitinho
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: M. Klimowicz replaces L. Bonatini
Substitution for Toluca: E. Lopez replaces A. Villegas
Substitution for Toluca: Pedro Raul replaces J. Meneses
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: J. Damm replaces J. Murillo
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: I. Moreno replaces R. Chavez
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Angulo
0-2
Substitution for Toluca: I. Violante replaces M. Araujo
Substitution for Toluca: J. Venegas replaces C. Baeza
A. Villegas (Toluca) cautioned
J. Angulo (Toluca) cautioned
Substitution for Toluca: J. Angulo replaces M. Ruiz
C. Baeza (Toluca) cautioned
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: S. Salles Lamonge replaces E. Aguila
Rodrigo Dourado (Atl. San Luis) sent off for a second yellow card
Rodrigo Dourado (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
Goal scored for Toluca by A. Villegas, assisted by J. Meneses
0-1
J. Murillo (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
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San Luis vs. Toluca: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' San Luis vs. Toluca prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: San Luis vs. Toluca
- Date: Sunday, October 29, 2023
- Time: 2:00 PM ET
- Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez
- Tournament: Liga MX
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: San Luis +330, Toluca -125, draw +320
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-164/+125)
Dimers' win probabilities
- San Luis: 19.7%
- Toluca: 58.8%
- Draw: 21.5%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is San Luis 1-1 Toluca, with a probability of 10%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
San Luis is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 19.7% probability, while Toluca sits at 58.8%, with the draw at 21.5%.
For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' San Luis vs. Toluca prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.
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