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Necaxa vs. San Luis Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Necaxa vs. San Luis at the Liga MX on October 22, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Necaxa
0
4
Oct 23, 12AM Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez (San Luis Potosí)
San Luis
Oct 23, 12AM Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez (San Luis Potosí)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
San LuisASL
Score Summary
NecaxaNEC
U. Bilbao (8')
Soccer ball icon
L. Bonatini (37')
Soccer ball icon
A. Pena (o.g.) (48')
Soccer ball icon
R. Gudino (o.g.) (89')
Soccer ball icon
R. Monreal (39')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ASL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
NEC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by R. Gudino (o.g.)
0-4
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: J. Damm replaces L. Bonatini
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: A. Moreno replaces F. Arce
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: E. Martinez replaces J. A. Rodriguez Hernandez
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: M. Klimowicz replaces J. Murillo
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: U. Garcia replaces J. Guemez
71'
Yellow Card
F. Arce (Necaxa) cautioned
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: I. Moreno replaces R. Chavez
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: S. Salles Lamonge replaces D. Villalpando
58'
Yellow Card
J. A. Rodriguez Hernandez (Necaxa) cautioned
52'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: D. Gomez replaces E. Mendez
48'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by A. Pena (o.g.)
0-3
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: H. Jurado replaces R. Cortez
39'
Red Card
R. Monreal (Necaxa) sent off with a straight red card
37'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by L. Bonatini
0-2
32'
Yellow Card
R. Cortez (Necaxa) cautioned
17'
Yellow Card
J. Sanabria (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
8'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by U. Bilbao, assisted by D. Villalpando
0-1

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Necaxa vs. San Luis: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Necaxa vs. San Luis prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Necaxa vs. San Luis
  • Date: Sunday, October 22, 2023
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Necaxa +360, San Luis -135, draw +310
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-154/+120)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Necaxa: 21.7%
  • San Luis: 53.7%
  • Draw: 24.7%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Necaxa 0-1 San Luis, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Necaxa is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 21.7% probability, while San Luis sits at 53.7%, with the draw at 24.7%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Necaxa vs. San Luis prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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