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Guadalajara vs. Puebla Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Guadalajara vs. Puebla at the Liga MX on October 20, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Guadalajara
2
0
Oct 21, 3:10AM Estadio Cuauhtémoc (Puebla)
Puebla
Oct 21, 3:10AM Estadio Cuauhtémoc (Puebla)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
PueblaPBL
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
R. Alvarado (pen.) (25')
Soccer ball icon
R. Cisneros (72')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
PBL
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
GCH
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
G. Carabajal (Puebla) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
R. Alvarado (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: E. Gutierrez replaces R. Marin
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: J. Padilla replaces I. Brizuela
77'
Yellow Card
S. Olmedo (Puebla) cautioned
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: L. Garcia replaces K. Velasco
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: G. Carabajal replaces P. Gonzalez
72'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by R. Cisneros, assisted by R. Marin
2-0
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: R. Cisneros replaces V. Guzman
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: M. Barragan replaces C. Baltazar
57'
Yellow Card
A. Briseno (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
57'
Yellow Card
G. Martinez (Puebla) cautioned
56'
Yellow Card
P. Gonzalez (Puebla) cautioned
34'
Yellow Card
G. Sepulveda (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
25'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by R. Alvarado (pen.)
1-0
18'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: M. Mayorga replaces J. Orozco
17'
Yellow Card
F. Gonzalez (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned

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Guadalajara vs. Puebla: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Guadalajara vs. Puebla prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Puebla
  • Date: Friday, October 20, 2023
  • Time: 11:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Cuauhtémoc
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Guadalajara +130, Puebla +210, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-134/+102)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 45.5%
  • Puebla: 30.2%
  • Draw: 24.2%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Guadalajara 1-1 Puebla, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Guadalajara is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 45.5% probability, while Puebla sits at 30.2%, with the draw at 24.2%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Guadalajara vs. Puebla prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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