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Puebla vs. Necaxa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Puebla vs. Necaxa at the Liga MX on October 8, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
Puebla
2
1
Oct 8, 11PM Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes (Aguascalientes)
Necaxa
Oct 8, 11PM Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes (Aguascalientes)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NecaxaNEC
Score Summary
PueblaPBL
E. Mendez (55')
Soccer ball icon
B. Samudio (89')
Red Card icon
G. Martinez (12')
Soccer ball icon
D. De Buen (36')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NEC
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
PBL
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
F. Arce (Necaxa) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
V. Poggi (Necaxa) cautioned
89'
Red Card
B. Samudio (Necaxa) sent off with a straight red card
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: L. Garcia replaces P. Gonzalez
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: E. Orona replaces B. Angulo
83'
Yellow Card
B. Garnica (Necaxa) cautioned
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: M. Barragan replaces K. Velasco
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: D. Aguilar replaces M. Sansores
60'
Yellow Card
K. Velasco (Puebla) cautioned
55'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Necaxa by E. Mendez, assisted by V. Poggi
2-1
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: L. de los Santos replaces C. Baltazar
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: E. Mendez replaces F. Batista
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: B. Samudio replaces H. Jurado
42'
Yellow Card
G. Silva (Puebla) cautioned
41'
Yellow Card
B. Angulo (Puebla) cautioned
38'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: V. Poggi replaces A. Andrade
36'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Puebla by D. De Buen, assisted by C. Baltazar
2-0
33'
Yellow Card
H. Jurado (Necaxa) cautioned
12'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Puebla by G. Martinez, assisted by M. Sansores
1-0

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Puebla vs. Necaxa: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Puebla vs. Necaxa prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Puebla vs. Necaxa
  • Date: Sunday, October 8, 2023
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Puebla +240, Necaxa +108, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-126/+100)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Puebla: 31.7%
  • Necaxa: 42.6%
  • Draw: 25.8%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Puebla 1-1 Necaxa, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Puebla is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 31.7% probability, while Necaxa sits at 42.6%, with the draw at 25.8%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Puebla vs. Necaxa prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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