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Queretaro vs. Pumas UNAM Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Queretaro vs. Pumas UNAM at the Liga MX on October 4, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
FINAL
LIGA MX
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Oct 5, 1AM Estadio Olímpico de Universitario (Ciudad de México (D.F.))
Oct 5, 1AM Estadio Olímpico de Universitario (Ciudad de México (D.F.))
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
E. Gularte (o.g.) (25')
J. Dinenno (pen.) (42')
Nathan Silva (50')
J. Dinenno (68')
O. I. Mendoza Martin (40')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
G. Del Prete (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) cautioned
Substitution for Queretaro: P. N. Ortiz Orozco replaces R. Sandoval
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: C. Gutierrez replaces P. Bennevendo
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: A. Ortiz replaces Nathan Silva
Goal scored for U.N.A.M.- Pumas by J. Dinenno, assisted by P. Bennevendo
0-4
Substitution for Queretaro: J. Sierra replaces F. Lertora
Substitution for Queretaro: M. Garcia replaces P. Barrera
Substitution for Queretaro: N. Cordero replaces J. Zuniga
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: E. Montejano replaces E. Salvio
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: R. Ergas replaces C. Tabo
Substitution for Queretaro: M. Lainez replaces E. Ayon
Goal scored for U.N.A.M.- Pumas by Nathan Silva, assisted by A. Aldrete
0-3
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: G. Del Prete replaces G. Fernandez
Goal scored for U.N.A.M.- Pumas by J. Dinenno (pen.)
0-2
O. I. Mendoza Martin (Queretaro) sent off with a straight red card
Goal scored for U.N.A.M.- Pumas by E. Gularte (o.g.)
0-1
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Queretaro vs. Pumas UNAM: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Queretaro vs. Pumas UNAM prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Queretaro vs. Pumas UNAM
- Date: Wednesday, October 4, 2023
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- Venue: Estadio Olímpico de Universitario
- Tournament: Liga MX
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Queretaro +325, Pumas UNAM -115, draw +280
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-132/-105)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Queretaro: 25.0%
- Pumas UNAM: 50.8%
- Draw: 24.2%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Queretaro 1-1 Pumas UNAM, with a probability of 11%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Queretaro is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 25.0% probability, while Pumas UNAM sits at 50.8%, with the draw at 24.2%.
For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Queretaro vs. Pumas UNAM prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.
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