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Juarez vs. Necaxa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Juarez vs. Necaxa at the Liga MX on September 16, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Juarez
1
:
1
Sep 16, 11PM Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes (Aguascalientes)
Necaxa
Sep 16, 11PM Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes (Aguascalientes)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NecaxaNEC
Score Summary
JuarezJUA
F. Batista (pen.) (15')
Soccer ball icon
Jhon Chancellor (o.g.) (45')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NEC
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
JUA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
V. Poggi (Necaxa) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
M. Mosquera (Juarez) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
R. Gudino (Necaxa) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: S. Ormeno replaces A. Garcia
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: D. Campillo Del Campo replaces A. Cruz
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: A. Montes replaces J. Cortes
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: D. Mantilla replaces B. Garnica
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: B. Samudio replaces E. Mendez
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: S. Saucedo replaces D. Chavez
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: D. Garcia replaces A. Zapata
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: S. Perez replaces A. Escoto
52'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: V. Poggi replaces A. Andrade
52'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: J. A. Rodriguez Hernandez replaces H. Jurado
45'
Yellow Card
A. Andrade (Necaxa) cautioned
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Juarez by Jhon Chancellor (o.g.)
1-1
43'
Yellow Card
F. Arce (Necaxa) cautioned
36'
Yellow Card
A. Hurtado (Juarez) cautioned
26'
Yellow Card
H. Jurado (Necaxa) cautioned
18'
Yellow Card
A. Zapata (Juarez) cautioned
15'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Necaxa by F. Batista (pen.)
0-1

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Juarez vs. Necaxa: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Juarez vs. Necaxa prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Juarez vs. Necaxa
  • Date: Saturday, September 16, 2023
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Juarez +148, Necaxa +190, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+100/-130)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Juarez: 35.7%
  • Necaxa: 35.1%
  • Draw: 29.3%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Juarez 1-1 Necaxa, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Juarez is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 35.7% probability, while Necaxa sits at 35.1%, with the draw at 29.3%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Juarez vs. Necaxa prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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