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Athletic Bilbao vs. Sevilla Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Athletic Bilbao vs. Sevilla at the La Liga on September 29, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Sevilla
1
:
1
Sep 29, 2:15PM San Mamés Barria (Bilbao)
Athletic Bilbao
Sep 29, 2:15PM San Mamés Barria (Bilbao)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Athletic BilbaoBIL
Score Summary
SevillaSEV
M. Jauregizar (36')
Soccer ball icon
J. Agirrezabala (82')
Red Card icon
A. Padilla (o.g.) (90')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
BIL
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
SEV
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sevilla by A. Padilla (o.g.)
1-1
90'
Yellow Card
A. Pedrosa (Sevilla) cautioned
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: J. Navas replaces L. Agoume
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Padilla replaces N. Williams
82'
Red Card
J. Agirrezabala (Ath Bilbao) sent off with a straight red card
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: M. Mejia replaces Peque
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: A. Pedrosa replaces J. A. Carmona
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: Y. Berchiche replaces O. de Marcos
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: P. Canales replaces A. Berenguer
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: I. Ruiz de Galarreta replaces M. Vesga
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: G. Guruzeta replaces U. Gomez
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: Suso replaces K. Iheanacho
55'
Yellow Card
T. Nianzou (Sevilla) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: J. Sanchez replaces V. Barco
36'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by M. Jauregizar, assisted by U. Gomez
0-1

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Athletic Bilbao vs. Sevilla: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Athletic Bilbao vs. Sevilla prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Athletic Bilbao vs. Sevilla
  • Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: San Mamés Barria
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Athletic Bilbao -140, Sevilla +440, draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+105/-118)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Athletic Bilbao: 53.2%
  • Sevilla: 21.3%
  • Draw: 25.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Sevilla, with a probability of 14%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Athletic Bilbao is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 53.2% probability, while Sevilla sits at 21.3%, with the draw at 25.5%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Athletic Bilbao vs. Sevilla prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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