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Granada vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Granada vs. Real Madrid at the La Liga on May 11, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Real Madrid
4
0
May 11, 4:30PM Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes (Granada)
Granada
May 11, 4:30PM Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes (Granada)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
GranadaGCF
Score Summary
Real MadridRMA
F. Garcia (38')
Soccer ball icon
A. Guler (45')
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B. Diaz (49')
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B. Diaz (59')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
GCF
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
RMA
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Granada CF: O. Melendo replaces M. Uzuni
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Granada CF: R. Sanchez replaces Bruno Mendez
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: T. Kroos replaces L. Modric
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: N. Fernandez replaces A. Rudiger
59'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by B. Diaz, assisted by L. Modric
4-0
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Granada CF: M. Hongla replaces S. Ruiz
53'
Substitution
Substitution for Granada CF: G. Villar replaces G. Gumbau
49'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by B. Diaz, assisted by D. Ceballos
3-0
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Granada CF: J. Callejon replaces K. Jozwiak
45'
Yellow Card
G. Gumbau (Granada CF) cautioned
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by A. Guler, assisted by F. Garcia
2-0
38'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by F. Garcia
1-0
25'
Yellow Card
L. Boye (Granada CF) cautioned

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Granada vs. Real Madrid: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Granada vs. Real Madrid prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Granada vs. Real Madrid
  • Date: Saturday, May 11, 2024
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Granada +450, Real Madrid -182, draw +350
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-160/+130)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Granada: 19.9%
  • Real Madrid: 58.2%
  • Draw: 21.9%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Granada 1-1 Real Madrid, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Granada is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 19.9% probability, while Real Madrid sits at 58.2%, with the draw at 21.9%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Granada vs. Real Madrid prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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