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Athletic Bilbao vs. Villareal Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Athletic Bilbao vs. Villareal at the La Liga on April 14, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Apr 14, 4:30PM San Mamés Barria (Bilbao)
Apr 14, 4:30PM San Mamés Barria (Bilbao)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
O. Sancet (67')
S. Comesana (46')
D. Parejo (pen.) (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Y. Berchiche (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
Goal scored for Villarreal by D. Parejo (pen.)
1-1
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: I. Muniain replaces O. Sancet
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Villalibre replaces G. Guruzeta
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: D. Garcia replaces B. Prados Diaz
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Berenguer replaces N. Williams
Substitution for Villarreal: I. Akhomach replaces B. Traore
Substitution for Villarreal: G. Guedes replaces A. Moreno
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by O. Sancet, assisted by G. Guruzeta
0-1
Substitution for Villarreal: A. Pedraza replaces G. Moreno
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Herrera replaces M. Vesga
S. Comesana (Villarreal) sent off for a second yellow card
R. Albiol (Villarreal) cautioned
S. Comesana (Villarreal) cautioned
I. Williams (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
B. Prados Diaz (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
Penalty missed by G. Moreno for Villarreal
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Athletic Bilbao vs. Villareal: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Athletic Bilbao vs. Villareal prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Athletic Bilbao vs. Villareal
- Date: Sunday, April 14, 2024
- Time: 12:30 PM ET
- Venue: San Mamés Barria
- Tournament: La Liga
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Athletic Bilbao -160, Villareal +450, draw +320
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+124)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Athletic Bilbao: 57.7%
- Villareal: 20.0%
- Draw: 22.3%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Villareal, with a probability of 11%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Athletic Bilbao is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 57.7% probability, while Villareal sits at 20.0%, with the draw at 22.3%.
For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Athletic Bilbao vs. Villareal prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.
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