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Real Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Real Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao at the La Liga on March 31, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
FINAL
LA LIGA
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Mar 31, 7PM Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
Mar 31, 7PM Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
Rodrygo (8')
Rodrygo (73')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for Real Madrid: E. Militao replaces D. Carvajal
I. Ruiz de Galarreta (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
Substitution for Real Madrid: L. Modric replaces Rodrygo
Substitution for Real Madrid: E. Camavinga replaces T. Kroos
Substitution for Real Madrid: Lucas replaces F. Valverde
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: I. Muniain replaces O. Sancet
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Rodrygo, assisted by J. Bellingham
0-2
Substitution for Real Madrid: Joselu replaces B. Diaz
N. Fernandez (Real Madrid) cautioned
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: I. Ruiz de Galarreta replaces B. Prados Diaz
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: Y. Berchiche replaces O. de Marcos
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Ares replaces G. Guruzeta
A. Tchouameni (Real Madrid) cautioned
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: D. Vivian replaces Y. Alvarez
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Rodrygo, assisted by B. Diaz
0-1
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Real Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Real Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Real Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao
- Date: Sunday, March 31, 2024
- Time: 3:00 PM ET
- Venue: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
- Tournament: La Liga
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Real Madrid -165, Athletic Bilbao +500, draw +310
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-125/+112)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Real Madrid: 55.6%
- Athletic Bilbao: 20.9%
- Draw: 23.5%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Real Madrid 1-0 Athletic Bilbao, with a probability of 11%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Real Madrid is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 55.6% probability, while Athletic Bilbao sits at 20.9%, with the draw at 23.5%.
For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Real Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.
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