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Alaves vs. Real Sociedad Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Alaves vs. Real Sociedad at the La Liga on March 31, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Real Sociedad
1
0
Mar 31, 4:30PM Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
Alaves
Mar 31, 4:30PM Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AlavesALA
Score Summary
Real SociedadRSO
J. Pacheco (59')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ALA
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
RSO
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Yellow Card
J. Pacheco (Real Sociedad) cautioned
86'
Yellow Card
A. Abqar (Alaves) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: B. Turrientes replaces A. Zakharyan
80'
Yellow Card
M. Merino (Real Sociedad) cautioned
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: G. Simeone replaces C. Vicente
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: K. Garcia replaces S. Omorodion
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Rebbach replaces L. Rioja
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: Andre Silva replaces A. Barrenetxea
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: K. Tierney replaces M. Oyarzabal
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: J. Panichelli replaces J. Guridi
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Benavidez replaces A. Guevara
63'
Yellow Card
A. Guevara (Alaves) cautioned
59'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Sociedad by J. Pacheco, assisted by A. Zakharyan
1-0
44'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: S. Becker replaces T. Kubo

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Alaves vs. Real Sociedad: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Alaves vs. Real Sociedad prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Real Sociedad
  • Date: Sunday, March 31, 2024
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Alaves +290, Real Sociedad +120, draw +195

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Alaves: 26.2%
  • Real Sociedad: 45.0%
  • Draw: 28.8%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Alaves 0-1 Real Sociedad, with a probability of 15%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Alaves is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 26.2% probability, while Real Sociedad sits at 45.0%, with the draw at 28.8%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Alaves vs. Real Sociedad prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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