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Alaves vs. Sevilla Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Alaves vs. Sevilla at the La Liga on August 21, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Sevilla
3
4
Aug 21, 5PM Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
Alaves
Aug 21, 5PM Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AlavesALA
Score Summary
SevillaSEV
L. Rioja (7')
Soccer ball icon
R. Duarte (44')
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K. Garcia (54')
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K. Garcia (59')
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A. Abqar (o.g.) (15')
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E. Lamela (41')
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R. Mir (90')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ALA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
SEV
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
A. Gorosabel (Alaves) cautioned
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sevilla by R. Mir
3-4
90'
Yellow Card
O. Torres (Sevilla) cautioned
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: R. Marin replaces R. Duarte
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: M. de la Fuente replaces L. Rioja
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: M. Sylla replaces K. Garcia
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Blanco replaces C. Benavidez
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: J. Corona replaces J. Jordan
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: R. Mir replaces Suso
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: J. Lopez replaces X. Alkain
62'
Yellow Card
N. Gudelj (Sevilla) cautioned
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: O. Torres replaces L. Ocampos
59'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by K. Garcia, assisted by L. Rioja
2-4
54'
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Goal scored for Alaves by K. Garcia, assisted by J. Guridi
2-3
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: Fernando replaces I. Rakitic
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: A. Pedrosa replaces M. Acuna
44'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by R. Duarte, assisted by L. Rioja
2-2
41'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sevilla by E. Lamela, assisted by L. Ocampos
2-1
15'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sevilla by A. Abqar (o.g.)
1-1
7'
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Goal scored for Alaves by L. Rioja, assisted by J. Guridi
0-1

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Alaves vs. Sevilla: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Alaves vs. Sevilla prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Sevilla
  • Date: Monday, August 21, 2023
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Alaves +230, Sevilla +140, draw +200
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+152/-188)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Alaves: 28.5%
  • Sevilla: 43.2%
  • Draw: 28.3%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Alaves 0-1 Sevilla, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Alaves is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 28.5% probability, while Sevilla sits at 43.2%, with the draw at 28.3%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Alaves vs. Sevilla prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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