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Alaves vs. Villareal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Alaves vs. Villareal at the La Liga on February 10, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Villareal
1
:
1
Feb 10, 1PM Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
Alaves
Feb 10, 1PM Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AlavesALA
Score Summary
VillarealVIL
S. Omorodion (25')
Soccer ball icon
J. Cuenca (42')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ALA
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
VIL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
L. Garcia (Alaves) cautioned
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: I. Hagi replaces J. Guridi
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Rebbach replaces L. Rioja
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: J. L. Morales replaces I. Akhomach
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: E. Capoue replaces F. Coquelin
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: A. Moreno replaces A. Baena
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: G. Guedes replaces G. Moreno
71'
Yellow Card
A. Sorloth (Villarreal) cautioned
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Vicente replaces J. Lopez
44'
Yellow Card
J. Cuenca (Villarreal) cautioned
42'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Villarreal by J. Cuenca, assisted by A. Baena
1-1
25'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by S. Omorodion, assisted by A. Sola
0-1
15'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: R. Duarte replaces R. Marin

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Alaves vs. Villareal: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Alaves vs. Villareal prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Villareal
  • Date: Saturday, February 10, 2024
  • Time: 8:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Alaves +120, Villareal +240, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-108/-108)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Alaves: 41.6%
  • Villareal: 32.5%
  • Draw: 25.9%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Alaves 1-1 Villareal, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Alaves is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 41.6% probability, while Villareal sits at 32.5%, with the draw at 25.9%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Alaves vs. Villareal prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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