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Real Madrid vs. Almeria Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Real Madrid vs. Almeria at the La Liga on January 21, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Almeria
2
3
Jan 21, 3:15PM Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
Real Madrid
Jan 21, 3:15PM Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Real MadridRMA
Score Summary
AlmeriaALM
J. Bellingham (pen.) (56')
Soccer ball icon
Vinicius Junior (67')
Soccer ball icon
D. Carvajal (90')
Soccer ball icon
L. Ramazani (1')
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E. Gonzalez (43')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
RMA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
ALM
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
G. Garitano (Almeria) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
E. Camavinga (Real Madrid) cautioned
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by D. Carvajal, assisted by J. Bellingham
2-3
90'
Yellow Card
D. Carvajal (Real Madrid) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
J. Bellingham (Real Madrid) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
L. Suarez (Almeria) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Almeria: G. Melero replaces L. Robertone
84'
Yellow Card
E. Gonzalez (Almeria) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: E. Camavinga replaces T. Kroos
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Almeria: Lazaro replaces S. Arribas
77'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
75'
Yellow Card
A. Pozo (Almeria) cautioned
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: D. Ceballos replaces F. Valverde
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Almeria: A. Pozo replaces M. Pubill
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Almeria: L. Suarez replaces M. Milovanovic
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Almeria: A. Embarba replaces L. Ramazani
67'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Vinicius Junior, assisted by A. Tchouameni
2-2
64'
Yellow Card
D. Lopy (Almeria) cautioned
64'
Yellow Card
G. Garitano (Almeria) cautioned
62'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - Foul
56'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by J. Bellingham (pen.)
2-1
53'
Yellow Card
L. Ramazani (Almeria) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: Joselu replaces Rodrygo
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: B. Diaz replaces N. Fernandez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: F. Garcia replaces F. Mendy
43'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Almeria by E. Gonzalez
2-0
1'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Almeria by L. Ramazani, assisted by L. Robertone
1-0

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Real Madrid vs. Almeria: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Real Madrid vs. Almeria prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Real Madrid vs. Almeria
  • Date: Sunday, January 21, 2024
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Santiago BernabĂ©u
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Real Madrid -800, Almeria +2000, draw +875

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Real Madrid: 78.8%
  • Almeria: 7.9%
  • Draw: 13.3%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Real Madrid 2-0 Almeria, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Real Madrid is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 78.8% probability, while Almeria sits at 7.9%, with the draw at 13.3%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Real Madrid vs. Almeria prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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