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Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid at the La Liga on August 12, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
LA LIGA
2
0
Aug 12, 7:30PM San Mamés Barria (Bilbao)
Aug 12, 7:30PM San Mamés Barria (Bilbao)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
Rodrygo (28')
J. Bellingham (36')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
I. Williams (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
Substitution for Real Madrid: Joselu replaces Rodrygo
Substitution for Real Madrid: L. Modric replaces Vinicius Junior
D. Alaba (Real Madrid) cautioned
Substitution for Real Madrid: T. Kroos replaces E. Camavinga
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: I. Garcia de Albeniz replaces I. Lekue
D. Vivian (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Herrera replaces M. Vesga
Substitution for Real Madrid: A. Rudiger replaces E. Militao
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Berenguer replaces N. Williams
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: O. Sancet replaces U. Gomez
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: G. Guruzeta replaces I. Muniain
Goal scored for Real Madrid by J. Bellingham, assisted by D. Alaba
2-0
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Rodrygo, assisted by D. Carvajal
1-0
I. Muniain (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
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Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid
- Date: Saturday, August 12, 2023
- Time: 3:30 PM ET
- Venue: San Mamés Barria
- Tournament: La Liga
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Athletic Bilbao +240, Real Madrid +112, draw +250
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-118/-103)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Athletic Bilbao: 31.7%
- Real Madrid: 42.1%
- Draw: 26.2%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Madrid, with a probability of 12%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Athletic Bilbao is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 31.7% probability, while Real Madrid sits at 42.1%, with the draw at 26.2%.
For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.
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