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Atletico Madrid vs. Almeria Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Atletico Madrid vs. Almeria at the La Liga on December 10, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Almeria
1
2
Dec 10, 1PM Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano (Madrid)
Atletico Madrid
Dec 10, 1PM Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano (Madrid)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Atletico MadridATM
Score Summary
AlmeriaALM
A. Morata (17')
Soccer ball icon
A. Correa (22')
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Leo Baptistao (62')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ATM
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
ALM
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
Koke (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Almeria: I. Baba replaces L. Robertone
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Almeria: L. Ramazani replaces A. Embarba
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Almeria: A. Puigmal replaces A. Pozo
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: J. M. Gimenez replaces C. Azpilicueta
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: N. Molina replaces A. Correa
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. Riquelme replaces S. Lino
62'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Almeria by Leo Baptistao
1-2
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: S. Niguez replaces R. de Paul
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Depay replaces A. Morata
22'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Correa, assisted by M. Llorente
0-2
17'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Morata, assisted by A. Griezmann
0-1
6'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside

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Atletico Madrid vs. Almeria: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Atletico Madrid vs. Almeria prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Atletico Madrid vs. Almeria
  • Date: Sunday, December 10, 2023
  • Time: 8:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atletico Madrid -500, Almeria +1300, draw +650

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Atletico Madrid: 76.3%
  • Almeria: 9.1%
  • Draw: 14.6%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Atletico Madrid 2-0 Almeria, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Atletico Madrid is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 76.3% probability, while Almeria sits at 9.1%, with the draw at 14.6%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Atletico Madrid vs. Almeria prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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