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Alaves vs. Almeria Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Alaves vs. Almeria at the La Liga on November 5, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Almeria
0
1
Nov 5, 1PM Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
Alaves
Nov 5, 1PM Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AlavesALA
Score Summary
AlmeriaALM
A. Sedlar (79')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ALA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
ALM
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: R. Marin replaces A. Sedlar
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Almeria: M. Sanca replaces L. Ramazani
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: N. Tenaglia replaces A. Gorosabel
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Sola replaces L. Rioja
81'
Yellow Card
L. Rioja (Alaves) cautioned
79'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by A. Sedlar
0-1
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Almeria: I. Baba replaces L. Robertone
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Almeria: M. Milovanovic replaces Leo Baptistao
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: S. Omorodion replaces K. Garcia
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Rebbach replaces I. Hagi
59'
Yellow Card
L. Robertone (Almeria) cautioned
52'
Yellow Card
L. Maximiano (Almeria) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Almeria: A. Embarba replaces G. Melero
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Almeria: S. Arribas replaces A. Puigmal
45'
Penalty missed by I. Hagi for Alaves
25'
Yellow Card
A. Gorosabel (Alaves) cautioned
14'
Yellow Card
G. Melero (Almeria) cautioned

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Alaves vs. Almeria: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Alaves vs. Almeria prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Almeria
  • Date: Sunday, November 5, 2023
  • Time: 8:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Alaves -130, Almeria +410, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-104/-115)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Alaves: 50.1%
  • Almeria: 25.1%
  • Draw: 24.8%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Alaves 1-1 Almeria, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Alaves is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 50.1% probability, while Almeria sits at 25.1%, with the draw at 24.8%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Alaves vs. Almeria prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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