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Sevilla vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Sevilla vs. Real Madrid at the La Liga on October 21, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Real Madrid
1
:
1
Oct 21, 4:30PM Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán (Sevilla)
Sevilla
Oct 21, 4:30PM Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán (Sevilla)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
SevillaSEV
Score Summary
Real MadridRMA
D. Alaba (o.g.) (74')
Soccer ball icon
D. Carvajal (78')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SEV
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
RMA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
E. Camavinga (Real Madrid) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
E. Lamela (Sevilla) cautioned
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: E. Lamela replaces D. Sow
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: R. Mir replaces Y. En Nesyri
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: B. Diaz replaces Vinicius Junior
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: F. Garcia replaces F. Mendy
87'
Yellow Card
B. Soumare (Sevilla) cautioned
86'
Yellow Card
D. Sow (Sevilla) cautioned
86'
Yellow Card
Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid) cautioned
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: Joselu replaces Rodrygo
78'
Yellow Card
L. Ocampos (Sevilla) cautioned
78'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by D. Carvajal, assisted by T. Kroos
1-1
77'
Yellow Card
S. Ramos (Sevilla) cautioned
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: L. Bade replaces N. Gudelj
74'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sevilla by D. Alaba (o.g.)
0-1
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: E. Camavinga replaces A. Tchouameni
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: L. Modric replaces F. Valverde
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: Suso replaces D. Lukebakio

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Sevilla vs. Real Madrid: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Sevilla vs. Real Madrid prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Sevilla vs. Real Madrid
  • Date: Saturday, October 21, 2023
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sevilla +310, Real Madrid -115, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-138/+120)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Sevilla: 24.2%
  • Real Madrid: 52.8%
  • Draw: 23.0%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Sevilla 1-1 Real Madrid, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Sevilla is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 24.2% probability, while Real Madrid sits at 52.8%, with the draw at 23.0%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Sevilla vs. Real Madrid prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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