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Celta Vigo vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Celta Vigo vs. Atletico Madrid at the La Liga on October 21, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Atletico Madrid
3
0
Oct 21, 7PM Abanca-BalaĆ­dos (Vigo)
Celta Vigo
Oct 21, 7PM Abanca-BalaĆ­dos (Vigo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Celta VigoRCC
Score Summary
Atletico MadridATM
I. Villar (25')
Red Card icon
A. Griezmann (pen.) (29')
Soccer ball icon
A. Griezmann (64')
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A. Griezmann (70')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
RCC
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
ATM
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
87'
Yellow Card
R. Riquelme (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
87'
Yellow Card
M. Rodriguez (Celta Vigo) cautioned
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: M. Rodriguez replaces J. S. Larsen
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: C. Dotor replaces L. de la Torre
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: C. Soyuncu replaces A. Griezmann
70'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Griezmann, assisted by N. Molina
3-0
64'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Griezmann
2-0
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: A. Douvikas replaces I. Aspas
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: H. Sotelo replaces F. Beltran
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. de Paul replaces S. Niguez
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Correa replaces M. Llorente
54'
Yellow Card
S. Niguez (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
52'
Yellow Card
C. Starfelt (Celta Vigo) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: N. Molina replaces S. Lino
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. Riquelme replaces P. Barrios
30'
Yellow Card
O. Mingueza (Celta Vigo) cautioned
29'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Griezmann (pen.)
1-0
28'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: V. Guaita replaces K. Vazquez
25'
Red Card
I. Villar (Celta Vigo) sent off with a straight red card

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Celta Vigo vs. Atletico Madrid: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Celta Vigo vs. Atletico Madrid prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Celta Vigo vs. Atletico Madrid
  • Date: Saturday, October 21, 2023
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Abanca-BalaĆ­dos
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Celta Vigo +265, Atletico Madrid +110, draw +245
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+104/-120)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Celta Vigo: 29.5%
  • Atletico Madrid: 44.4%
  • Draw: 26.2%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Celta Vigo 1-1 Atletico Madrid, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Celta Vigo is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 29.5% probability, while Atletico Madrid sits at 44.4%, with the draw at 26.2%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Celta Vigo vs. Atletico Madrid prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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