Brighton vs. Newcastle Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Brighton vs. Newcastle Premier League match on October 18, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Newcastle
1
2
Amex Stadium
Brighton
Amex Stadium
BrightonBHA
Score Summary
NewcastleNEW
D. Welbeck (41')
Soccer ball icon
D. Welbeck (84')
Soccer ball icon
N. Woltemade (76')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Brighton
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Newcastle
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: D. Coppola replaces Y. Minteh
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: C. Kostoulas replaces D. Welbeck
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    D. Burn (Newcastle) cautioned
  4. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: W. Osula replaces Bruno Guimaraes
  5. 84'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Brighton by D. Welbeck
    1-2
  6. 76'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Newcastle by N. Woltemade, assisted by L. Miley
    1-1
  7. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: S. Tzimas replaces G. Rutter
  8. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: J. Milner replaces C. Baleba
  9. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: H. Barnes replaces A. Gordon
  10. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: J. Ramsey replaces S. Tonali
  11. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: L. Miley replaces Joelinton
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: J. Murphy replaces A. Elanga
  13. 41'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Brighton by D. Welbeck, assisted by G. Rutter
    0-1
  14. 36'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: M. De Cuyper replaces D. Gomez

Brighton vs. Newcastle: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Brighton vs. Newcastle
  • Date: Saturday, October 18, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Amex Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Brighton +200, Newcastle +150, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-115/+105)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Brighton: 39.6%
  • Newcastle: 35.4%
  • Draw: 25.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Brighton 1-1 Newcastle (11.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Brighton vs. Newcastle? Prediction & correct score

Brighton is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 39.6%.

The most likely correct score is Brighton 1-1 Newcastle.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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