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Bournemouth vs. Southampton Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Bournemouth vs. Southampton at the Premier League on September 30, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Southampton
1
3
Sep 30, 7PM Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth, Dorset)
Bournemouth
Sep 30, 7PM Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth, Dorset)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
BournemouthAFC
Score Summary
SouthamptonSOT
Evanilson (17')
Soccer ball icon
D. Ouattara (32')
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A. Semenyo (39')
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T. Harwood-Bellis (51')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
AFC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
SOT
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
A. Lallana (Southampton) cautioned
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Bournemouth: L. Sinisterra replaces A. Semenyo
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Bournemouth: A. Scott replaces M. Tavernier
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Bournemouth: E. Unal replaces Evanilson
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Southampton: C. Archer replaces T. Dibling
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Southampton: A. Lallana replaces M. Fernandes
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Bournemouth: J. Kluivert replaces D. Ouattara
55'
Yellow Card
F. Downes (Southampton) cautioned
55'
Yellow Card
T. Dibling (Southampton) cautioned
52'
Yellow Card
Y. Sugawara (Southampton) cautioned
51'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Southampton by T. Harwood-Bellis
1-3
50'
Yellow Card
M. Kerkez (Bournemouth) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Southampton: R. Stewart replaces L. Ugochukwu
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Southampton: J. Aribo replaces R. Fraser
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Southampton: B. Brereton Diaz replaces M. Cornet
45'
Yellow Card
M. Tavernier (Bournemouth) cautioned
39'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Bournemouth by A. Semenyo, assisted by L. Cook
0-3
32'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Bournemouth by D. Ouattara, assisted by L. Cook
0-2
27'
Yellow Card
M. Fernandes (Southampton) cautioned
17'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Bournemouth by Evanilson, assisted by M. Tavernier
0-1

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Bournemouth vs. Southampton: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Bournemouth vs. Southampton prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Bournemouth vs. Southampton
  • Date: Monday, September 30, 2024
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Vitality Stadium
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Bournemouth -189, Southampton +500, draw +360
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-179/+135)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Bournemouth: 57.5%
  • Southampton: 19.9%
  • Draw: 22.6%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Bournemouth 1-0 Southampton, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Bournemouth is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 57.5% probability, while Southampton sits at 19.9%, with the draw at 22.6%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Bournemouth vs. Southampton prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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