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Brighton vs. Newcastle Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Brighton vs. Newcastle at the Premier League on May 4, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Newcastle
1
:
1
May 4, 1PM American Express Stadium (Falmer, East Sussex)
Brighton
May 4, 1PM American Express Stadium (Falmer, East Sussex)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
BrightonBHA
Score Summary
NewcastleNEW
Y. Minteh (28')
Soccer ball icon
A. Isak (pen.) (89')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
BHA
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
NEW
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: B. Gruda replaces Y. Minteh
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: D. Gomez replaces M. O'Riley
89'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Newcastle by A. Isak (pen.)
1-1
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: C. Wilson replaces J. Willock
73'
Yellow Card
J. Willock (Newcastle) cautioned
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: Y. Ayari replaces J. Hinshelwood
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: J. Veltman replaces S. Adingra
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: A. Gordon replaces J. Murphy
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: T. Lamptey replaces M. Wieffer
32'
Yellow Card
M. Wieffer (Brighton) cautioned
28'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Brighton by Y. Minteh, assisted by M. Wieffer
0-1

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Brighton vs. Newcastle: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Brighton vs. Newcastle prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Brighton vs. Newcastle
  • Date: Sunday, May 4, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 AM ET
  • Venue: American Express Stadium
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Brighton +210, Newcastle +120, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-169/+130)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Brighton: 29.8%
  • Newcastle: 46.6%
  • Draw: 23.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Brighton 1-1 Newcastle, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Brighton is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 29.8% probability, while Newcastle sits at 46.6%, with the draw at 23.5%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Brighton vs. Newcastle prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, see our responsible gambling resources.

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