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Newcastle vs. Manchester United Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Newcastle vs. Manchester United at the Premier League on April 13, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
1
4
Apr 13, 3:30PM St. James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)
Apr 13, 3:30PM St. James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
S. Tonali (24')
H. Barnes (49')
H. Barnes (64')
Bruno Guimaraes (77')
A. Garnacho (37')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for Newcastle: L. Miley replaces Bruno Guimaraes
Substitution for Newcastle: S. Longstaff replaces Joelinton
Substitution for Manchester Utd: K. Mainoo replaces B. Fernandes
Substitution for Newcastle: C. Wilson replaces A. Isak
Substitution for Newcastle: E. Krafth replaces K. Trippier
Substitution for Newcastle: A. Gordon replaces J. Murphy
Substitution for Manchester Utd: L. Shaw replaces N. Mazraoui
Goal scored for Newcastle by Bruno Guimaraes, assisted by Joelinton
1-4
Goal scored for Newcastle by H. Barnes
1-3
Substitution for Manchester Utd: M. Mount replaces A. Garnacho
Substitution for Manchester Utd: P. Dorgu replaces H. Amass
Substitution for Manchester Utd: R. Hojlund replaces J. Zirkzee
Goal scored for Newcastle by H. Barnes, assisted by J. Murphy
1-2
L. Yoro (Manchester Utd) cautioned
Goal scored for Manchester Utd by A. Garnacho, assisted by D. Dalot
1-1
Goal scored for Newcastle by S. Tonali, assisted by A. Isak
0-1
M. Ugarte (Manchester Utd) cautioned
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Newcastle vs. Manchester United: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Newcastle vs. Manchester United prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Newcastle vs. Manchester United
- Date: Sunday, April 13, 2025
- Time: 11:30 AM ET
- Venue: St. James' Park
- Tournament: Premier League
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Newcastle -160, Manchester United +450, draw +320
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-149/+128)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Newcastle: 53.5%
- Manchester United: 24.0%
- Draw: 22.5%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Newcastle 1-1 Manchester United, with a probability of 10%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Newcastle is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 53.5% probability, while Manchester United sits at 24.0%, with the draw at 22.5%.
For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Newcastle vs. Manchester United prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.
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