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Chelsea vs. Arsenal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Chelsea vs. Arsenal at the Premier League on November 10, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Arsenal
1
:
1
Nov 10, 4:30PM Stamford Bridge (London)
Chelsea
Nov 10, 4:30PM Stamford Bridge (London)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ChelseaCFC
Score Summary
ArsenalARS
P. Neto (70')
Soccer ball icon
G. Martinelli (60')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CFC
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
ARS
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: C. Nkunku replaces N. Jackson
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: R. James replaces M. Gusto
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: Gabriel Jesus replaces B. Saka
80'
Yellow Card
M. Cucurella (Chelsea) cautioned
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: L. Trossard replaces G. Martinelli
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: M. Merino replaces D. Rice
70'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chelsea by P. Neto, assisted by E. Fernandez
1-1
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: E. Fernandez replaces R. Lavia
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: M. Mudryk replaces N. Madueke
60'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Arsenal by G. Martinelli, assisted by M. Odegaard
1-0
56'
Yellow Card
K. Havertz (Arsenal) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
N. Madueke (Chelsea) cautioned
39'
Yellow Card
B. White (Arsenal) cautioned
33'
Yellow Card
P. Neto (Chelsea) cautioned
32'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
21'
Yellow Card
L. Colwill (Chelsea) cautioned

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Chelsea vs. Arsenal: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Chelsea vs. Arsenal prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Chelsea vs. Arsenal
  • Date: Sunday, November 10, 2024
  • Time: 11:30 AM ET
  • Venue: Stamford Bridge
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Chelsea +205, Arsenal +138, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-125/+102)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Chelsea: 28.4%
  • Arsenal: 48.1%
  • Draw: 23.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Chelsea 1-1 Arsenal, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Chelsea is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 28.4% probability, while Arsenal sits at 48.1%, with the draw at 23.5%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Chelsea vs. Arsenal prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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