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Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace at the Premier League on October 21, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Crystal Palace
0
4
Oct 21, 2PM St. James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)
Newcastle
Oct 21, 2PM St. James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NewcastleNEW
Score Summary
Crystal PalacePAL
J. Murphy (4')
Soccer ball icon
A. Gordon (44')
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S. Longstaff (45')
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C. Wilson (66')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NEW
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
PAL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Crystal Palace: D. Ozoh replaces J. Lerma
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: E. Anderson replaces Joelinton
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Crystal Palace: Matheus Franca replaces W. Hughes
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: S. Tonali replaces B. Guimaraes
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: V. Livramento replaces K. Trippier
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: M. Almiron replaces A. Gordon
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: A. Isak replaces C. Wilson
66'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Newcastle by C. Wilson, assisted by J. Murphy
0-4
60'
Yellow Card
T. Mitchell (Crystal Palace) cautioned
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Crystal Palace: J. Rak-Sakyi replaces J. Mateta
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Newcastle by S. Longstaff
0-3
45'
Yellow Card
K. Trippier (Newcastle) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
O. Edouard (Crystal Palace) cautioned
44'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Newcastle by A. Gordon, assisted by J. Murphy
0-2
39'
Yellow Card
S. Longstaff (Newcastle) cautioned
29'
Yellow Card
J. Mateta (Crystal Palace) cautioned
4'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Newcastle by J. Murphy, assisted by K. Trippier
0-1

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Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace
  • Date: Saturday, October 21, 2023
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: St. James' Park
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Newcastle -210, Crystal Palace +700, draw +360
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-129/+104)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Newcastle: 66.7%
  • Crystal Palace: 13.2%
  • Draw: 20.1%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Newcastle 2-0 Crystal Palace, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Newcastle is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 66.7% probability, while Crystal Palace sits at 13.2%, with the draw at 20.1%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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