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Chelsea vs. Manchester United Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Chelsea vs. Manchester United at the Premier League on April 4, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Manchester United
3
4
Apr 4, 7:15PM Stamford Bridge (London)
Chelsea
Apr 4, 7:15PM Stamford Bridge (London)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ChelseaCFC
Score Summary
Manchester UnitedMNU
C. Gallagher (4')
Soccer ball icon
C. Palmer (pen.) (19')
Soccer ball icon
C. Palmer (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
C. Palmer (90')
Soccer ball icon
A. Garnacho (34')
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B. Fernandes (39')
Soccer ball icon
A. Garnacho (67')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CFC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
MNU
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chelsea by C. Palmer (pen.)
3-3
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chelsea by C. Palmer, assisted by E. Fernandez
3-4
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: N. Madueke replaces C. Gallagher
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester Utd: M. Mount replaces A. Garnacho
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester Utd: S. McTominay replaces Casemiro
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: A. Gilchrist replaces M. Gusto
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: T. Chalobah replaces A. Disasi
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: R. Sterling replaces M. Mudryk
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: C. Chukwuemeka replaces M. Caicedo
67'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Manchester Utd by A. Garnacho, assisted by Antony
3-2
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester Utd: M. Rashford replaces R. Hojlund
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester Utd: W. Kambwala replaces J. Evans
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester Utd: J. Evans replaces R. Varane
39'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Manchester Utd by B. Fernandes, assisted by D. Dalot
2-2
35'
Yellow Card
E. Fernandez (Chelsea) cautioned
34'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Manchester Utd by A. Garnacho
1-2
32'
Yellow Card
M. Gusto (Chelsea) cautioned
19'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chelsea by C. Palmer (pen.)
0-2
4'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chelsea by C. Gallagher
0-1

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Chelsea vs. Manchester United: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Chelsea vs. Manchester United prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Chelsea vs. Manchester United
  • Date: Thursday, April 4, 2024
  • Time: 3:15 PM ET
  • Venue: Stamford Bridge
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Chelsea -120, Manchester United +300, draw +340

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Chelsea: 50.2%
  • Manchester United: 27.5%
  • Draw: 22.3%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Chelsea 1-1 Manchester United, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Chelsea is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 50.2% probability, while Manchester United sits at 27.5%, with the draw at 22.3%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Chelsea vs. Manchester United prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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