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Newcastle vs. Luton Town Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Newcastle vs. Luton Town at the Premier League on February 3, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
4
:
4
Feb 3, 3PM St. James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)
Feb 3, 3PM St. James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
S. Longstaff (7')
S. Longstaff (23')
K. Trippier (67')
H. Barnes (73')
G. Osho (21')
R. Barkley (40')
C. Morris (pen.) (59')
E. Adebayo (62')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
G. Osho (Luton) cautioned
Substitution for Luton: C. Woodrow replaces E. Adebayo
Substitution for Luton: J. Brown replaces C. Morris
Substitution for Luton: R. Burke replaces A. Doughty
J. Murphy (Newcastle) cautioned
Goal scored for Newcastle by H. Barnes, assisted by L. Miley
4-4
Substitution for Luton: P. Mpanzu replaces J. Clark
Goal scored for Newcastle by K. Trippier, assisted by Bruno Guimaraes
4-3
Substitution for Newcastle: H. Barnes replaces M. Almiron
Substitution for Newcastle: V. Livramento replaces D. Burn
Goal scored for Luton by E. Adebayo, assisted by R. Barkley
4-2
A. S. Lokonga (Luton) cautioned
Goal scored for Luton by C. Morris (pen.)
3-2
D. Burn (Newcastle) cautioned
Substitution for Newcastle: C. Wilson replaces A. Gordon
Goal scored for Luton by R. Barkley
2-2
Goal scored for Newcastle by S. Longstaff
1-2
Goal scored for Luton by G. Osho, assisted by C. Morris
1-1
Goal scored for Newcastle by S. Longstaff, assisted by K. Trippier
0-1
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Newcastle vs. Luton Town: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Newcastle vs. Luton Town prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Newcastle vs. Luton Town
- Date: Saturday, February 3, 2024
- Time: 10:00 AM ET
- Venue: St. James' Park
- Tournament: Premier League
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Newcastle -190, Luton Town +500, draw +350
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-175/+135)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Newcastle: 73.0%
- Luton Town: 10.1%
- Draw: 16.9%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Newcastle 2-0 Luton Town, with a probability of 13%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Newcastle is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 73.0% probability, while Luton Town sits at 10.1%, with the draw at 16.9%.
For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Newcastle vs. Luton Town prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.
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