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Arsenal vs. Liverpool Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Arsenal vs. Liverpool at the Premier League on February 4, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Liverpool
1
3
Feb 4, 4:30PM Emirates Stadium (London)
Arsenal
Feb 4, 4:30PM Emirates Stadium (London)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ArsenalARS
Score Summary
LiverpoolLFC
B. Saka (14')
Soccer ball icon
G. Martinelli (67')
Soccer ball icon
L. Trossard (90')
Soccer ball icon
Gabriel (o.g.) (45')
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I. Konate (88')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ARS
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
LFC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
D. Nunez (Liverpool) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
W. Saliba (Arsenal) cautioned
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Arsenal by L. Trossard, assisted by J. Kiwior
1-3
90'
Yellow Card
D. Rice (Arsenal) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
K. Havertz (Arsenal) cautioned
88'
Red Card
I. Konate (Liverpool) sent off for a second yellow card
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: Thiago replaces J. Gomez
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: R. Nelson replaces B. Saka
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: L. Trossard replaces G. Martinelli
69'
Yellow Card
J. Kiwior (Arsenal) cautioned
67'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Arsenal by G. Martinelli
1-2
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: A. Robertson replaces T. Alexander-Arnold
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: D. Nunez replaces C. Gakpo
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: H. Elliott replaces R. Gravenberch
57'
Yellow Card
Gabriel (Arsenal) cautioned
55'
Yellow Card
I. Konate (Liverpool) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: J. Kiwior replaces O. Zinchenko
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Liverpool by Gabriel (o.g.)
1-1
31'
Yellow Card
B. White (Arsenal) cautioned
25'
Yellow Card
J. Gomez (Liverpool) cautioned
14'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Arsenal by B. Saka
0-1

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Arsenal vs. Liverpool: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Arsenal vs. Liverpool prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Arsenal vs. Liverpool
  • Date: Sunday, February 4, 2024
  • Time: 11:30 AM ET
  • Venue: Emirates Stadium
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Arsenal +120, Liverpool +225, draw +265
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-141/+114)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Arsenal: 49.9%
  • Liverpool: 26.9%
  • Draw: 23.2%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Arsenal 1-1 Liverpool, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Arsenal is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 49.9% probability, while Liverpool sits at 26.9%, with the draw at 23.2%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Arsenal vs. Liverpool prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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