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Everton vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Everton vs. Aston Villa at the Premier League on January 14, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Aston Villa
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Jan 14, 2PM Goodison Park (Liverpool)
Everton
Jan 14, 2PM Goodison Park (Liverpool)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
EvertonEVE
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
EVE
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
VIL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: N. Zaniolo replaces J. McGinn
75'
Yellow Card
Y. Tielemans (Aston Villa) cautioned
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: M. Cash replaces Diego Carlos
73'
Yellow Card
C. Lenglet (Aston Villa) cautioned
72'
Yellow Card
J. Tarkowski (Everton) cautioned
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: Y. Tielemans replaces L. Bailey
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Duran replaces M. Diaby
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Everton: Beto replaces D. Calvert-Lewin
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Everton: D. McNeil replaces A. Danjuma
48'
Yellow Card
Diego Carlos (Aston Villa) cautioned
31'
Yellow Card
O. Watkins (Aston Villa) cautioned
18'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside

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Everton vs. Aston Villa: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Everton vs. Aston Villa prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Everton vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Sunday, January 14, 2024
  • Time: 9:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Goodison Park
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Everton +155, Aston Villa +175, draw +255
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-137/+115)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Everton: 36.2%
  • Aston Villa: 39.6%
  • Draw: 24.2%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Everton 1-1 Aston Villa, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Everton is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 36.2% probability, while Aston Villa sits at 39.6%, with the draw at 24.2%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Everton vs. Aston Villa prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, see our responsible gambling resources.

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