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Liverpool vs. Arsenal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Liverpool vs. Arsenal at the Premier League on December 23, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Arsenal
1
:
1
Dec 23, 5:30PM Anfield (Liverpool)
Liverpool
Dec 23, 5:30PM Anfield (Liverpool)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
LiverpoolLFC
Score Summary
ArsenalARS
M. Salah (29')
Soccer ball icon
Gabriel (4')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
LFC
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
ARS
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
B. White (Arsenal) cautioned
87'
Yellow Card
E. Nketiah (Arsenal) cautioned
84'
Yellow Card
M. Salah (Liverpool) cautioned
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: E. Nketiah replaces Gabriel Jesus
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: R. Gravenberch replaces C. Jones
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: L. Trossard replaces G. Martinelli
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: D. Nunez replaces C. Gakpo
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: H. Elliott replaces L. Diaz
49'
Yellow Card
D. Rice (Arsenal) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
W. Endo (Liverpool) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
K. Havertz (Arsenal) cautioned
38'
Yellow Card
B. Saka (Arsenal) cautioned
35'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: J. Gomez replaces K. Tsimikas
29'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Liverpool by M. Salah, assisted by T. Alexander-Arnold
1-1
4'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Arsenal by Gabriel, assisted by M. Odegaard
1-0

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Liverpool vs. Arsenal: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Liverpool vs. Arsenal prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Liverpool vs. Arsenal
  • Date: Saturday, December 23, 2023
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Anfield
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Liverpool +150, Arsenal +180, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-143/+133)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Liverpool: 35.8%
  • Arsenal: 40.6%
  • Draw: 23.6%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Liverpool 1-1 Arsenal, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Liverpool is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 35.8% probability, while Arsenal sits at 40.6%, with the draw at 23.6%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Liverpool vs. Arsenal prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, see our responsible gambling resources.

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