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Brentford vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Brentford vs. Aston Villa at the Premier League on December 17, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa
2
1
Dec 17, 2PM Gtech Community Stadium (Brentford, Middlesex)
Brentford
Dec 17, 2PM Gtech Community Stadium (Brentford, Middlesex)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
BrentfordBRE
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
K. Lewis-Potter (45')
Soccer ball icon
B. Mee (71')
Red Card icon
A. Moreno (77')
Soccer ball icon
O. Watkins (85')
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B. Kamara (90')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
BRE
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
VIL
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Dendoncker replaces J. Ramsey
90'
Yellow Card
F. Onyeka (Brentford) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
N. Maupay (Brentford) cautioned
90'
Red Card
B. Kamara (Aston Villa) sent off with a straight red card
90'
Yellow Card
E. Martinez (Aston Villa) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
U. Emery (Aston Villa) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
Y. Yarmolyuk (Brentford) cautioned
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Brentford: M. Olakigbe replaces V. Janelt
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Brentford: Y. Yarmolyuk replaces M. Roerslev Rasmussen
88'
Yellow Card
V. Janelt (Brentford) cautioned
87'
Yellow Card
J. Duran (Aston Villa) cautioned
86'
Yellow Card
E. Konsa (Aston Villa) cautioned
86'
Yellow Card
S. Ghoddos (Brentford) cautioned
85'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins
2-1
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: N. Zaniolo replaces P. Torres
80'
Yellow Card
L. Bailey (Aston Villa) cautioned
77'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by A. Moreno, assisted by L. Bailey
1-1
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Brentford: N. Collins replaces Y. Wissa
71'
Red Card
B. Mee (Brentford) sent off with a straight red card
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Brentford: F. Onyeka replaces M. Damsgaard
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Brentford: N. Maupay replaces K. Lewis-Potter
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Duran replaces M. Diaby
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Bailey replaces M. Cash
46'
Yellow Card
C. Norgaard (Brentford) cautioned
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Brentford by K. Lewis-Potter
0-1

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Brentford vs. Aston Villa: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Brentford vs. Aston Villa prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Brentford vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Sunday, December 17, 2023
  • Time: 9:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Gtech Community Stadium
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Brentford +220, Aston Villa +130, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-108/-109)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Brentford: 31.9%
  • Aston Villa: 42.6%
  • Draw: 25.4%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Brentford 1-1 Aston Villa, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Brentford is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 31.9% probability, while Aston Villa sits at 42.6%, with the draw at 25.4%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Brentford vs. Aston Villa prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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