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Chelsea vs. Brentford Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Chelsea vs. Brentford at the Premier League on October 28, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Brentford
2
0
Oct 28, 11:30AM Stamford Bridge (London)
Chelsea
Oct 28, 11:30AM Stamford Bridge (London)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ChelseaCFC
Score Summary
BrentfordBRE
E. Pinnock (58')
Soccer ball icon
B. Mbeumo (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CFC
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
BRE
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Brentford by B. Mbeumo, assisted by N. Maupay
2-0
90'
Yellow Card
C. Norgaard (Brentford) cautioned
85'
Yellow Card
F. Onyeka (Brentford) cautioned
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Brentford: S. Ghoddos replaces A. Hickey
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: C. Ugochukwu replaces M. Caicedo
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: Deivid Washington replaces M. Cucurella
78'
Yellow Card
M. Caicedo (Chelsea) cautioned
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Brentford: Y. Yarmolyuk replaces V. Janelt
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Brentford: N. Maupay replaces Y. Wissa
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: R. James replaces A. Disasi
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: I. Maatsen replaces N. Madueke
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Brentford: F. Onyeka replaces M. Jensen
58'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Brentford by E. Pinnock, assisted by B. Mbeumo
1-0
56'
Yellow Card
N. Maupay (Brentford) cautioned

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Chelsea vs. Brentford: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Chelsea vs. Brentford prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Chelsea vs. Brentford
  • Date: Saturday, October 28, 2023
  • Time: 7:30 AM ET
  • Venue: Stamford Bridge
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Chelsea -155, Brentford +460, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-115/-102)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Chelsea: 60.1%
  • Brentford: 18.2%
  • Draw: 21.7%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Chelsea 1-0 Brentford, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Chelsea is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 60.1% probability, while Brentford sits at 18.2%, with the draw at 21.7%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Chelsea vs. Brentford prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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