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Bournemouth vs. Burnley Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Bournemouth vs. Burnley at the Premier League on October 28, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Burnley
1
2
Oct 28, 2PM Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth, Dorset)
Bournemouth
Oct 28, 2PM Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth, Dorset)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
BournemouthAFC
Score Summary
BurnleyBUR
A. Semenyo (22')
Soccer ball icon
P. Billing (76')
Soccer ball icon
C. Taylor (11')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
AFC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
BUR
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Bournemouth: A. Smith replaces M. Aarons
84'
Yellow Card
D. Ouattara (Bournemouth) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Bournemouth: J. Rothwell replaces P. Billing
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Bournemouth: M. Kerkez replaces M. Tavernier
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: N. Redmond replaces J. B. Gudmundsson
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: M. Tresor Ndayishimiye replaces L. Koleosho
77'
Yellow Card
P. Billing (Bournemouth) cautioned
76'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Bournemouth by P. Billing
1-2
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Bournemouth: D. Ouattara replaces A. Semenyo
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: J. Bruun Larsen replaces A. Zaroury
67'
Yellow Card
A. Al Dakhil (Burnley) cautioned
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: S. Berge replaces J. Cullen
56'
Yellow Card
C. Taylor (Burnley) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: J. Rodriguez replaces Z. Amdouni
28'
Yellow Card
J. Cullen (Burnley) cautioned
22'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Bournemouth by A. Semenyo
1-1
11'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Burnley by C. Taylor, assisted by D. O'Shea
1-0

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Bournemouth vs. Burnley: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Bournemouth vs. Burnley prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Bournemouth vs. Burnley
  • Date: Saturday, October 28, 2023
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Vitality Stadium
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Bournemouth +114, Burnley +240, draw +245
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-115/-102)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Bournemouth: 43.0%
  • Burnley: 31.3%
  • Draw: 25.6%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Bournemouth 1-1 Burnley, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Bournemouth is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 43.0% probability, while Burnley sits at 31.3%, with the draw at 25.6%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Bournemouth vs. Burnley prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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