Sep 4, 2026
Adelaide Crows vs. Western Bulldogs prediction: Why Crows are favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 26 matchup [9/5/2026]
Read Article Brisbane Lions vs. Gold Coast Suns prediction: Lions favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 23 matchup [8/15/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Add Dimers on Google 
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns predictions for AFL Saturday.
The Brisbane Lions will face the Gold Coast Suns in Australian Football League (AFL) action at The Gabba on Saturday, commencing at 2:15 AM ET.
Dimers' proven AFL model projects the Lions as the most likely winner in this Suns vs. Lions prediction.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Lions vs. Suns prediction: Who will win Round 23 game?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's AFL matchup between the Suns and Lions, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Lions an 84.6% chance of defeating the Suns.
According to our model, the Suns (+32.5) have a 51.1% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 193.5 points has a 52.3% chance of staying under,.
Gold Coast vs. Brisbane odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Suns +400, Lions -588
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Suns vs. Lions picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Suns +32.5 @ -115 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Lions @ -588 via DraftKings
- Total: Under 193.5 @ -115 via DraftKings
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 193.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Lions vs. Suns game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rules football matchup between the Lions and Suns at The Gabba is scheduled to commence at 2:15 AM ET.
- Who: Gold Coast Suns vs. Brisbane Lions
- Date: Saturday, August 15, 2026
- Time: 2:15 AM ET/11:15PM PT
- Venue: The Gabba
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Lions, with an 84.6% win probability, will likely beat the Suns in Saturday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
Advertiser disclosure
