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2024 MLB Win Totals: Our Projections and Best Over, Under Bets

2024 MLB Win Totals: Our Projections and Best Over, Under Bets

The best part about spring is nearly here. The exhibitions are underway, Spring Training is rolling and MLB is ready for its first pitch of the 2024 season. After the Texas Rangers' World Series, disappointing playoff exits for the Atlanta Braves and Los Angeles Dodgers, and plenty more thrilling storylines last year, what’s in store for this upcoming season?

As always, Dimers will be by your side for every minute of the action with our World Series Odds, our best MLB bets today, home run props and so much more. There’s nothing we love more than betting on sports and we’re here to guide you through this season with all of our sports picks.

Today, we’re looking at some MLB futures odds, particularly in the Team Win Totals market. Using our A.I. model’s cutting-edge predictive power, we’ll compare our in-house projections to the lines on the books to find some value before the season gets underway and the hierarchy of the MLB landscape takes shape.

Before you invest in any of these wagers, you should make sure you have access to the best U.S. Sportsbooks available in your state. There are always exclusive signup offers and weekly promotions available that are important to capitalize on, like Fanatics' 10-Day 100% Bet Match or BetMGM's $150 Bonus Bet offer.

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Analyzing 2024 MLB Win Totals

As the league with the longest regular season in terms of the number of games played, betting on MLB win totals is truly a test of patience and an eye for longevity. You have to be able to project the full season, account for the ebbs and flows of a nearly 7-month campaign and get a little lucky on top of that.

For this analysis, we’ll be using the lines and odds available on DraftKings, where you can get yourself $150 in bonus bets this season, all for betting just your first $5.

If you don’t have DraftKings Sportsbook in your state, be sure to compare the lines on the best books available to you in our Best Sports Betting Sites section to maximize your value!

 

2024 MLB Win Total Projections

In tandem with our MLB Futures projections, our supremely talented data team has run a win totals projection model, both identifying the max and min result for each team, and presenting us with their mean (average) win total.

We can then compare those numbers to what's on the books and see which teams are most projected to clear their set line, or fall short of expectations in 2024.

Have a look at our full results below, along with each team's odds to have the best record (most wins) for an additional reference point:

*Note: The Yankees are off the board as starting pitcher Gerrit Cole undergoes MRI testing

TEAM
WIN TOTAL
PROJECTION

BOOK
LINE

WINS
+/-

OVER
ODDS

UNDER
ODDS

BEST RECORD
ODDS

Atlanta Braves
107.9
101.5
+6.4
+100
-120
+300
Houston Astros
92.2
92.5
-0.3
-115
-105
+700
Los Angeles Dodgers
91.8
103.5
-11.7
-110
-110
+180
Boston Red Sox
89.9
77.5
+12.4
-105
-115
+9000
Miami Marlins
88.0
78.5
+9.5
-115
-105
+9000
New York Yankees
86.9
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
St. Louis Cardinals
85.3
84.5
0.8
-115
-105
+5000
Texas Rangers
84.8
89.5
-4.7
-105
-115
+1300
New York Mets
84.6
81.5
+3.1
-110
-110
+8000
Arizona Diamondbacks
84.3
83.5
+0.8
-120
+100
+5000
Cleveland Guardians
83.6
79.5
+4.1
-120
+100
+12000
Baltimore Orioles
82.3
90.5
-8.2
-110
-110
+1300
Philadelphia Phillies
81.7
90.5
-8.8
+100
-120
+1500
San Francisco Giants
80.9
81.5
-0.6
-105
-115
+8000
Chicago Cubs
80.0
84.5
-4.5
-115
-105
+3500
Los Angeles Angels
79.6
72.5
+7.1
-105
-115
+40000
Cincinnati Reds
79.2
81.5
-2.3
-115
-105
+9000
Tampa Bay Rays
78.4
84.5
-8.1
-105
-115
+5000
Toronto Blue Jays
78.0
86.5
-8.5
-120
+100
+2800
Chicago White Sox
77.9
73.5
+4.4
-20
+100
+50000
Kansas City Royals
77.8
86.5
-8.7
-120
-110
+20000
Minnesota Twins
77.6
86.5
-8.9
-115
-105
+2500
San Diego Padres
76.0
81.5
-5.5
-110
-110
+12000
Seattle Mariners
75.8
87.5
-11.7
+100
-120
+2000
Detroit Tigers
75.2
80.5
-5.3
-115
-105
+10000
Pittsburgh Pirates
75.0
74.5
+0.5
-115
-105
+30000
Oakland Athletics
69.8
56.5
+13.3
-120
+100
+50000
Washington Nationals
69.8
66.5
+3.3
+100
-120
+50000
Milwaukee Brewers
69.6
77.5
-7.9
-115
-105
+50000
Colorado Rockies
66.2
60.5
+5.7
+100
-120
+50000


*Sorted by Wins - Highest to Lowest*

Responsible Gambling

Please remember to enjoy gambling responsibly. Responsible gambling means setting limits, staying in control, and understanding that luck is just part of the game. Make informed choices, set a budget, and know when to take a break. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for MLB and NFL, uses his deep knowledge to craft game previews for the NBA, MLB, and NFL. He also brings his expertise to the golf world with tournament previews and parlays for the PGA TOUR and major golf tournaments. Additionally, Dave offers valuable props for NBA, MLB, NHL, and NCAAM basketball, along with best bets for MLB, NHL, and NCAAM. 

When not delving into the world of sports, Dave is an avid advocate for New Haven pizza, enjoys reading comic books, gardening, and spending time with his cats. His broad interests and detailed sports insights ensure that his contributions are both engaging and informative.

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