The 2026 NFL season opens with a
heavyweight rematch: the New England Patriots travel to Lumen Field to face the Seattle Seahawks on Wednesday, September 9 — a Week 1 do-over of February’s Super Bowl LX. Kickoff is still weeks away, but the early markets are already posted, and the
First TD Scorer
market is where the biggest Week 1 payouts live.
With Drake Maye building on his breakout Super Bowl run, all eyes are on his new No. 1 target. New England’s marquee offseason addition, veteran wideout A.J. Brown, makes his Patriots debut in Seattle — and
has priced an intriguing First TD Scorer prop around him.
Featured Prop: A.J. Brown First TD Scorer (+700)
on A.J. Brown to score the first touchdown of the game against the Seahawks.
- New No. 1 in New England:
Brown arrives as the Patriots’ headline acquisition and Maye’s clear top target. The market reflects it — Bet365 prices Brown’s Anytime TD at +140 (roughly a 41.7% implied chance), among the shortest of any Patriots pass-catcher, and the book built an entire “Patriot Power” Bet Boost around him finding the end zone.
- Predictive Value:
At +700, the First TD market implies roughly a 12.5% chance Brown opens the scoring. For a physical, red-zone-sized WR1 who profiles as New England’s primary target, that longshot number carries genuine sleeper value — especially set against his much shorter +140 anytime price, which signals the market fully expects him in the end zone at some point.
- Early-Game Scripting:
Expect New England to script early touches for its prized addition and get him involved from the opening drive of his Patriots career. With Seattle’s secondary attention split across the New England skill group, Brown is a prime candidate to win a one-on-one in the red zone early.
Note:
Odds in this article are correct at time of publication and subject to change.
Player Props: Patriots Vs. Seahawks
First & Anytime TD Scorer Odds (Bet365)
| Player |
First TD Odds |
Anytime TD Odds |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba |
+500 |
-110 |
| Jadarian Price |
+600 |
+110 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson |
+625 |
+125 |
| A.J. Brown |
+700 |
+140 |
| TreVeyon Henderson |
+850 |
+165 |
| Emanuel Wilson |
+950 |
+180 |
Patriots Vs. Seahawks Betting Preview
Explore the interactive widget below to discover the latest spread, over/under, and moneyline betting odds and probabilities for the Patriots-Seahawks game at Lumen Field.
Check out all the important details on the game, as well as the best odds sourced from the top sportsbooks in the country.
Game Details
The key information you need before the Patriots vs. Seahawks NFL game.
- Teams:
vs.
- Date:
Wednesday, September 9, 2026
- Kickoff:
8:20 p.m. ET
- Location:
Lumen Field, Seattle
- NFL standings:
- NFL injuries:
Odds (Bet365)
Odds for the key markets in the Patriots-Seahawks matchup.
- Spread:
Patriots +3.5 (-110), Seahawks -3.5 (-110)
- Moneyline:
Patriots +160, Seahawks -190
- Total:
Over/Under 44.5 (-110/-110)
The odds and lines presented here are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.
| Sportsbook |
New-user offer |
| Bet365 |
(no bonus code required) |
Bet365 Bet Boosts
Bet365 has posted several boosted Same Game Parlays for the opener:
- Patriot Power (+700, boosted from +600):
Patriots Moneyline + A.J. Brown to Score a TD + A.J. Brown 50+ Receiving Yards.
- Seahawk Season (+500, boosted from +420):
Seahawks Moneyline + Jaxon Smith-Njigba to Score a TD + Jaxon Smith-Njigba 100+ Receiving Yards.
- Maye Day (Same Game Parlay, boosted price in-app):
Drake Maye 250+ Passing Yards + Drake Maye 2+ Passing TDs + Rhamondre Stevenson to Score a TD.
Expert Prediction: Patriots Vs. Seahawks
Utilizing state-of-the-art data analysis and advanced algorithms, the experts at
Dimers
have performed 10,000 simulations of the Patriots vs. Seahawks matchup.
According to Dimers’ predictive analytics model, the
Seahawks are more likely to win
at Lumen Field. This prediction is based on the model giving the Seahawks a
61% chance
of winning the game, with a projected final score of
Seahawks 24, Patriots 21.
Notably, the model is far more bullish on New England against the number: Dimers gives the
Patriots (+4) a 65.3% chance of covering the spread. With the projected margin sitting at just three points, that pushes the value squarely to the underdog. The model’s projected 45-point combined total also edges just over Bet365’s posted total of 44.5.
These predictions and probabilities are accurate at the time of publication but are subject to potential changes.
Patriots Vs. Seahawks Best Bet
Our top pick for the Patriots vs. Seahawks game is to bet on the
Patriots +3.5 (-110)
at Bet365.
Dimers’ model gives New England better than a 65% chance to cover, and with a projected three-point final margin, the Patriots getting a field goal and a hook is live value in a game the market has tightened toward a near coin flip against the spread. This expert betting advice is based on world-class modeling and valuable betting intelligence, designed to help you make more informed decisions.
Final Thoughts: Patriots Vs. Seahawks
Week 1 hands us the rematch the whole league wanted: Drake Maye and the Patriots back at Lumen Field against the Seahawks squad that edged them in Super Bowl LX. Seattle opens as a narrow home favorite, and Dimers leans to the Seahawks on the moneyline — but the same model, and a projected three-point margin, argues the points are with New England.
The headline angle is A.J. Brown’s Patriots debut. At +700 to strike first, he’s a high-variance sleeper with real early-script upside — and if you’d rather back him without needing the opening score, Bet365’s
Patriot Power
boost packages his touchdown with a Patriots win and a 50-yard receiving night at a tidy +700.
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